How New Ideas Happen

Lock July 23, 2020

“The first step to a new cosmogony is a step back” — Paul Feyerbend, Against Method

Raise your hand if you’ve murdered an idea.

I have. It’s a very strange habit.

Find Out What
Comes Next in Tech.

Start your free trial.

New ideas to help you build the future—in your inbox, every day. Trusted by over 75,000 readers.

Already have an account? Sign in

What's included?

Unlimited access to our daily essays by Dan Shipper, Evan Armstrong, and a roster of the best tech writers on the internet
Full access to an archive of hundreds of in-depth articles
Unlimited software access to Spiral, Sparkle, and Lex
Priority access and subscriber-only discounts to courses, events, and more
Ad-free experience
Access to our Discord community

Can Political Betting Markets Predict Election Outcomes?

Polls and pundits don't do a good job of predicting election results. But what about prediction markets? In this post, we discuss what makes a good market and what could cause it to be wrong.

10 Nov 4, 2020

Adam Keesling

How New Ideas Happen

Find Out What
Comes Next in Tech.

Start your free trial.

What's included?

Related Essays

Intangible Assets: The Invisible Value Driver

Can Political Betting Markets Predict Election Outcomes?

How New Ideas Happen

Find Out WhatComes Next in Tech.

Start your free trial.

What's included?

Related Essays

Intangible Assets: The Invisible Value Driver

Can Political Betting Markets Predict Election Outcomes?

What Comes Next in Tech

Find Out What
Comes Next in Tech.